Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war
GeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle East9moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 71.2%
Forecasters
88
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 24, 11:32 AM UTCJun 23, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
I will wait for at least a month after the war ends to try and get more reliable data.
- I reserve the right to extend the resolve date until reliable data is available.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war resolve?
- Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war is scheduled to resolve on June 23, 2027.
- How is Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I will wait for at least a month after the war ends to try and get more reliable data.