Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war
GeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle East8mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 70%
Forecasters
88
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 31, 24, 11:32 AM UTCJun 23, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
I will wait for at least a month after the war ends to try and get more reliable data.
- I reserve the right to extend the resolve date until reliable data is available.