Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionMiddle EastChessGeopoliticsSports3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.1%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMay 11, 26, 10:44 AM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Naftali Bennett is sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, scheduled for October 2026.
- Otherwise, it resolves to "NO."
- The official outcome will be determined by the formation of a government that receives a vote of confidence from the Knesset, as reported by official Israeli government sources such as the Knesset website or major reputable news outlets (e.g., The Times of Israel, Haaretz, Reuters).
- If the election results in a government where Bennett does not hold the position of Prime Minister, the market resolves to "NO."
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections? resolve?
- Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections? is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2026.
- How is Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria