Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastGadi Eisenkot 51%+4.2ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
19
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+7.2 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJul 16, 26, 10:20 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Gadi Eizenkot 51%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Gadi Eisenkot 60%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eisenkot 60%
- Also available on Kalshi — Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Gadi Eizenkot 42%
- Also available on Futuur — Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
