Will any non-USA country ease Russian oil sanctions or price caps?
GeopoliticsQuarterlyMiddle EastRussia / UkraineEuropeCommodities3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72.9%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 26, 2:58 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:49 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
The market resolves YES if, in response to the Iran war's effect on markets, any non-USA country eases, suspends, or removes any current sanctions on Russian crude oil or petroleum products, or changes the price cap on Russian oil products.
- Resolves as soon as there's naval stability in the strait of Ormuz (if it happens before 2027).
- Countries currently implementing sanctions/price caps on Russian oil: - The European Union - The United Kingdom - Canada - Japan - Australia - New Zeeland - Norway - Iceland - Switzerland
- I will not trade on this market
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any non-USA country ease Russian oil sanctions or price caps??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 73% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any non-USA country ease Russian oil sanctions or price caps? resolve?
- Will any non-USA country ease Russian oil sanctions or price caps? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will any non-USA country ease Russian oil sanctions or price caps? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The market resolves YES if, in response to the Iran war's effect on markets, any non-USA country eases, suspends, or removes any current sanctions on Russian crude oil or petroleum products, or changes the price cap on Russian oil products.