Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastXavier Becerra 95.3%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
65
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleNov 18, 25, 3:19 AM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Also available on Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Gemini — California Governor Winner · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election? · Xavier Becerra 96%
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9.9%
- Total Vol
- $33.5M
- 24h Vol
- $738.3K
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+36.5pt52.1%
- Nicolás Maduro-38.6pt46.9%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff16%
+48 more outcomes
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.2pt10%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.6M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.2pt93%
- Yes-1.2pt7%
- Total Vol
- $22.5M
- 24h Vol
- $554.9K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be elected governor of California in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Xavier Becerra at 95% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Who will be elected governor of California in 2026? resolve?
- Who will be elected governor of California in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2026.
- Where else is Who will be elected governor of California in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Futuur, Polymarket, PredictIt, Gemini, Manifold Markets.