GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Xavier Becerra 95.5%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$30
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 1:00 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketCalifornia Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf This CA Gov candidate makes the runoff, will they win the California Governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia governor election winner
FutuurRules
Who will win the California gubernatorial election in 2026?
- If the named outcome is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State.
- Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? · Democratic Party 97%
- Also available on Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Kalshi — California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 94%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for California Governor Winner?
- Gemini prices Xavier Becerra at 96% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does California Governor Winner resolve?
- California Governor Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is California Governor Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the California gubernatorial election in 2026?
- Where else is California Governor Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Futuur, Kalshi, PredictIt, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).