Which of these parties will be in the next Israeli governing coalition?
One-OffPoliticsMiddle EastChessElectionSports3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastLikud 71.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+21.5 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleOct 29, 26, 12:08 AM UTCJan 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on which of the listed parties are members of the next officially sworn-in Israeli government (the 38th government of Israel) following the 26th Knesset elections.
- Each option resolves independently:
- YES: The party is a formal signatory to the coalition agreement and officially part of the governing coalition when the new government passes its Knesset vote of confidence and is sworn into office.
- NO: The party is in the opposition or is not a formal member of the coalition at the time the government is sworn in.
- Providing outside support (confidence and supply) without being a formal member of the governing coalition does not count.
