Will Palestinian-led parties vote to establish or join Israel's next government?
PoliticsOne-OffMiddle EastChessElectionSports2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 57.5%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 28, 26, 1:53 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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FutuurRules
Resolves YES if at least one Palestinian-led party either formally joins the first government formed after the October 2026 election or votes in favor of its initial confidence vote.
- Resolves NO if the government takes office without either happening.
