PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
December 31 24%+2.0%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$241.4
Liquidity
$21K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.2%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-2.6%
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jan 5, 26, 10:59 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 3124%
Related Markets
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
$402.9Yes: 1%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
$160.5KJune 30: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces blockade on Iran by...?
$50.9KDecember 31: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israeli Parliament dissolved by…?
$680June 15 11.59pm ET: 2.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Iranian regime be overthrown?
$471.9Yes: 7.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2027?
$250Yes: 8.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Hormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%Blockchain.News
Hormuz strike jolts Iran-entry market as Polymarket cuts Trump odds to 15%Blockchain.NewsHormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%Blockchain.News
Inspection dispute cools US-Iran deal odds to 22.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
Ras Laffan blast spotlights Gulf shipping as Polymarket puts 20+ Hormuz at 99%Blockchain.News
Iran closes Hormuz again as talks restart, Polymarket Yes dips to 39.5%Blockchain.NewsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.