Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsMiddle EastGeopolitics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 11%
December 31 11%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$215
Liquidity
$10.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$3.3K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
4
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 36 minutes ago
Jan 5, 26, 10:59 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
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Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
June 30Lost
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Source: Polymarket
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- 1 percentage points
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Market depth · December 31
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
