Mahmoud Abbas still President of the Palestinian Authority through the end of 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionGeopoliticsMiddle East2mo
FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Yes 82%
Yes 82%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.5K
Medium liquidityTraders
7
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0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts whether Mahmoud Abbas will remain in office as President of the Palestinian Authority through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or records from the Palestinian Authority regarding the presidency.
- If Mahmoud Abbas officially remains President of the Palestinian Authority through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If he loses an election, resigns, or is formally removed before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the public announcement.
- If his authority is disputed but he continues to claim and exercise the office, Futuur may use its discretion to assess whether this constitutes continued officeholding.
