Who will President Herzog first task with forming Israel's next government?
One-OffPoliticsElectionMiddle East30d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastGadi Eisenkot 48.7%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+28.7 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 26, 7:10 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Israel voted on October 27, 2026.
- Under Basic Law: The Government, after the official results are published President Isaac Herzog consults every Knesset faction and then tasks one Knesset member with forming a government.
- This market resolves to the person President Herzog FIRST formally tasks with forming the government after the October 27, 2026 election.
- Resolution source: the official announcement from the President's Office (gov.il / president.gov.il), confirmed by Times of Israel, Haaretz, Reuters or AP reporting dated on or after the tasking.
- Only the first formal mandate counts.
- A second mandate later (if the first person fails) does not change the answer.