Will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu get a pardon from President Isaac Herzog?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.6%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleNov 30, 25, 11:59 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:57 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
KalshiBinyamin Netanyahu still Prime Minister of Israel through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?
KalshiRules
This will resolve YES if Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will get a full or partial pardon.
- https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gv76r5qpvo
- Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has submitted a request for a pardon to the country's President Isaac Herzog.
- The president's office said Herzog would receive opinions from justice officials before considering the "extraordinary request which carries with it significant implications".
- Netanyahu has been standing trial for the past five years on charges of bribery, fraud and breach of trust in connection with three separate cases.
- He denies any wrongdoing.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu get a pardon from President Isaac Herzog??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu get a pardon from President Isaac Herzog? resolve?
- Will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu get a pardon from President Isaac Herzog? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu get a pardon from President Isaac Herzog? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This will resolve YES if Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will get a full or partial pardon.