Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionMiddle EastCrime & Justice3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 61.6%
Forecasters
33
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 13, 26, 5:04 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- Netanyahu is Prime Minister of Israel since 2022.
- This market resolves YES if Netanyahu holds the office of Prime Minister on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC.
- It resolves NO if he does not hold the office at that time.
- Resolution will be determined by checking official Israeli government sources or major international news outlets confirming his status as Prime Minister on that date.
- Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by 27 October 2026.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria