KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBefore Nov 1, 2026 12%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$205.7
Liquidity
$17.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
40.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Mar 10, 26, 2:00 PMNov 1, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before Nov 1, 202612%
Compare venues· Before Nov 1, 2026
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall88% match · verified | Medium | 7% | — | $285.7 | $12.5K | 4 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 12% | — | $205.7 | $17.5K | 24 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by which date?
0.5%5mo
+0.5%7%
-0.6%0%
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$477.3K
24h Vol$285.7
POLYMARKETRules
If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$206Jul 313d of dataJul 26
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If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.