PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 7%
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$285.7
Liquidity
$12.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
33.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-10.0%
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Mar 9, 26, 10:23 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 317%
Compare venues· December 31
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 7% | — | $285.7 | $12.5K | 12 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi88% match · verified | Low | 12% | — | $205.7 | $17.5K | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
3mo
12%
3%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$53.6K
24h Vol$205.7
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$286Jul 58d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.