When will Jair Bolsonaro receive his passport back?
One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaUS PoliticsElectionGeopolitics3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Before 2028 2.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
Before 2028 2.5%Forecasters
10
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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0.0 pts
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 9, 24, 9:35 AM UTCMar 4, 30, 2:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Brazilian authorities seized the passport of former President Jair Bolsonaro as part of an investigation into allegations of a coup attempt.
- This move is linked to investigations surrounding Bolsonaro's actions following his electoral loss to President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in 2022.
- The investigations focus on accusations that Bolsonaro edited a draft decree to overturn the election results, attempted to involve military chiefs in a coup, and plotted to jail a Supreme Court justice.
- The seizure of Bolsonaro's passport is a significant legal action, suggesting authorities are taking the allegations seriously.
- It also indicates a strategy to mitigate the risk of him leaving the country while under investigation without the immediate political backlash that an arrest might provoke.
- Bolsonaro's response to the investigation has been to claim persecution, emphasizing that he's no longer in government and suggesting that the focus should be on the current administration.
