Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast35-39 51.7%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+37.4 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 18, 26, 8:41 AM UTCNov 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketWill the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
Manifold MarketsNZ election: Labour v National, Who gets higher % of Party List Vote
Manifold MarketsNZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PolymarketRules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Labour Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party in this election.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
