Current community forecast
Yes 53.7%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJan 29, 26, 1:49 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
resolves yes if the party that wins the most seats supplies the prime minister after the 2026 nz election.
- If tie for most seats, resolves YES if one of them supplies the prime minister.
- If a PM cant be decided after the 2026 Nov 7 election, and a new election is called, this will resolve based on the results from the second election (or whichever subsequent election is the final one before a PM is decided)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election? resolve?
- Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: resolves yes if the party that wins the most seats supplies the prime minister after the 2026 nz election.