Current community forecast
Yes 63.3%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJan 29, 26, 1:49 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsWill the party with the highest party vote %, supply the Prime Minister after the NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWho Will be Deputy Prime Minister after the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWho Will be Finance Minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Opportunity Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketRules
resolves yes if the party that wins the most seats supplies the prime minister after the 2026 nz election.
- If tie for most seats, resolves YES if one of them supplies the prime minister.
- If a PM cant be decided after the 2026 Nov 7 election, and a new election is called, this will resolve based on the results from the second election (or whichever subsequent election is the final one before a PM is decided)
