Current community forecast
Yes 61.8%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Aug 12, 26, 4:29 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
resolves yes if the party that wins the most seats supplies the prime minister after the 2026 nz election.
- If tie for most seats, resolves YES if one of them supplies the prime minister.
- If a PM cant be decided after the 2026 Nov 7 election, and a new election is called, this will resolve based on the results from the second election (or whichever subsequent election is the final one before a PM is decided)
- (Identical market to: source market)
