PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
35-39 38.4%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.2
Liquidity
$52.1K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 11:47 PM UTCNov 7, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
