Current implied probability
Labour 46%-0.1%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$102
Low liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 72.0%
Spread
278.9%
Wide spread7d Change
-5.0%
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 11:52 PMNov 7, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Labour46%
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A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- New Zealand uses a mixed-member proportional electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member electorate and one party vote for a political party list.
- This market will resolve to “Labour” if the Labour Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the National Party in this election.
- This market will resolve to “National” if the National Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the Labour Party in this election.
- Percentages of valid party list votes received by the Labour Party and the National Party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid party list votes each party receives by the sum of all valid party list votes cast in the election.
- This market includes party list votes cast by both the general electorate and the Māori electorate.