Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 97%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 29, 26, 2:24 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves according to official results and/or major media reporting.
- Win Prizes by trading on this market: https://manifold.markets/post/prize-pool-of-5500-mana-for-the-202
