Current community forecast
Yes 50.7%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJan 29, 26, 2:28 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWill Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWill Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
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PolymarketRules
resolves yes if Nationals party vote is higher than Greens,ACT and NZ first combined.
- Eg. if greens=8% act 7% and NZ first 9%. that is 24% combined. if National got 22%, this would resolve no.
- If National got 30%, this would resolve yes.
- Win Prizes by trading on this market: https://manifold.markets/post/prize-pool-of-5500-mana-for-the-202
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 51% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election? resolve?
- Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: resolves yes if Nationals party vote is higher than Greens,ACT and NZ first combined.