Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastGreens poll at 15.00% or more in 3 or more polls? 100%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 29, 26, 1:54 AM UTCNov 7, 26, 1:53 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
resolves yes if the party polls at 15.00% or more 3 or more polls.
- (after market creation)
- all 3 appearances cant be the same company though.
- Must be at least 2 different polling companies reporting it.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_New_Zealand_general_election#Table_of_polls
- Polls accepted:
