Will Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election?
9.9 pts (24h)Politics1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastGreens poll at 15.00% or more in 3 or more polls? 39.7%+9.9ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-9.9 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 1:54 AM UTCNov 7, 26, 1:53 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
resolves yes if the party polls at 15.00% or more 3 or more polls.
- (after market creation)
- all 3 appearances cant be the same company though.
- Must be at least 2 different polling companies reporting it.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_New_Zealand_general_election#Table_of_polls
- Polls accepted:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Greens poll at 15.00% or more in 3 or more polls? at 40% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election? resolve?
- Will Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2026.
- How is Will Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: resolves yes if the party polls at 15.00% or more 3 or more polls.