[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.2%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMar 24, 24, 7:35 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 8:00 AM UTC
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FutuurRules
Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21761/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, credible media sources report that combat troops from a NATO country are physically and openly present in Ukraine (under its internationally recognized borders at the time such reports are made) in significant numbers.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for [Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does [Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers? resolve?
- [Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.
- How is [Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?