If NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 71.8%
Forecasters
35
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleDec 24, 22, 3:59 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
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FutuurRules
Resolves NA if NATO troops never enter the war.
- Close date updated to 2025-01-01 6:59 pm
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 72% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon? resolve?
- If NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is If NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves NA if NATO troops never enter the war.