PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 11:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 95%
No 95%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$16.2K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingSep 17, 26, 3:44 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketSaudi troops fighting in Yemen by which date?
PolymarketIf NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
Manifold MarketsSyrian troops enter Yemen by which date?
PolymarketSaudi coalition strike in Yemen on?
PolymarketWill the US military strike Houthi targets in Yemen before November 12, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO member state enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict in Yemen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by NATO or the member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or the member state to have entered Yemen for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with the Houthis.
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they must be active duty troops and acknowledged as described above.
- Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however infantry engaging Houthi forces, or personnel conducting combat operations against the Houthis from Yemeni soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution).
- Only members of the regular armed forces of a NATO member state will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.