PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31, · —
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Stored reference
December 31, 12%Leader of 5 outcomes
December 31, 12%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$885.8
Low liquidityOpen interest
$5.4K
Bid / Ask
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December 31,Spread
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Comments
2
7d Change
-3.7 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 11:58 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
10,Lost
17,Lost
31,Lost
September 30,Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31,
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
PolymarketNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketSaudi troops enter Sanaa by which date?
PolymarketSaudi troops enter Marib Governorate by which date?
PolymarketWill a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?
Manifold MarketsYemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia enter Yemen for combat-related military purposes by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by Saudi Arabia; 2) be publicly acknowledged to have entered Yemen for a combat-related military purpose.
- For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above.
- Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however infantry engaging Yemeni forces, or personnel conducting combat operations from Yemeni soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution).
- Only members of the regular armed forces of Saudi Arabia will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.