Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolitics13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 77.9%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 4, 23, 8:28 AM UTCJan 1, 40, 3:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Such a crossing would link the Horn of Africa with the Arabian Peninsula
- Could be a bridge, a tunnel or even a 'submerged floating tunnel'.
- Resolves on undisputed media reporting