Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 77.4%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 17, 26, 6:23 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
PolymarketIf Iran’s regime falls by Dec 31 2027, will the trigger be external?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran's regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill USA change Iran regime
Manifold MarketsIf Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketRules
-Resolves N/A if Iran's regime does NOT fall in 2026.
- -Resolves Yes if Iran's regime falls, and during the previous day (ET timezone) the highest price for the market below is <= 50%.
- -Otherwise resolves No. (https://manifold.markets/embed/SaviorofPlant/will-irans-regime-fall-in-2026)