Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 6.4%
Forecasters
1,916
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleDec 31, 25, 12:31 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Also available on Polymarket
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1.0%5mo
-0.0%7%
+0.0%94%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$21.2M
24h Vol$73.9K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
3y
21.2%
78.8%
Community forecast207 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$371.8K
24h Vol$19.8
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
6mo
6.6%
93.4%
Community forecast90 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$39.9K
24h Vol$526.4
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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POLYMARKETActive in these topics
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.