If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsMiddle EastRussia / UkraineChina2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 85.5%
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11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 2, 26, 10:17 AM UTCJan 2, 27, 10:17 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Professor Jiang Xueqin has the Predictive History channel on YouTube:
- Geo-Strategy END: Psychohistory (The Science of Imagining the Future)
- I've extracted the most resolvable statements from this YouTube video:
- If the West Is Collapsing, What Comes Next in 2026? - Prof. Jiang Xueqin
- The questions will resolve YES if I see reports of this in relatively respectable media.
- I know this is a fuzzy resolution, but I'll do my best.
