If China invades Taiwan will they try to cut off the US from Fentanyl?
GeopoliticsOne-OffChinaLatin America
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 79%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMar 25, 24, 9:12 PM UTCDec 31, 50, 12:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
China supplies Mexico with precursor chemicals for Fentanyl production.
- Resolves if within a year of an invasion (before or after), its reported by US government agencies or western mainstream media that China is taking steps to cut off the US from Fentanyl (for example by restricting exports of precursor chemicals)
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Daniel_MC/when-will-china-invade-taiwan)
