Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore 2050 37%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 18, 25, 3:19 PM UTCJan 1, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide?
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve when Wikipedia removes Gaza from its "list of genocides" pages and stops identifying it as a genocide.
- Then all dates after the current date resolve YES and all dates before resolve NO.
- Specifically, the market will resolve if:
- The English Wikipedia article currently titled "Gaza genocide" is either deleted, renamed to a title that does not include "genocide" (e.g., "Gaza conflict," "Israel-Hamas war allegations," or similar without the term "genocide" directly asserting it), or its lead section (the first paragraph) is fundamentally altered to remove the assertion that the conflict is a genocide.
- The "Gaza genocide" entry is removed from the English Wikipedia article "List of genocides."
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"??
- Manifold Markets prices Before 2050 at 37% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"? resolve?
- By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2050.
- How is By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria