Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopoliticsCrime & Justice
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Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 7:26 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 71.4%
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29
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 5 hours ago
StaleMar 14, 25, 5:30 PM UTCJan 2, 50, 4:59 AM UTC
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Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
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FutuurWill an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketRules
South Africa filed a case against Israel at the International Court of Justice (ICJ) on December 29, 2023, accusing Israel of violating the 1948 Genocide Convention in its military operations in Gaza.
- Genocide cases at the ICJ typically take many years to reach a final determination.
- For context, the Bosnia v.
- Serbia genocide case took 14 years from filing to final judgment.
- The existing market is only till the end of 2027 (Old market: https://manifold.markets/Shump/will-the-icj-determine-that-israel ).
- I wish they would put that in the title name since it becomes misleading to bet on.
