Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
Middle EastOne-Off1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 84.2%
No 84.2%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$27.8
Liquidity
$10.4K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$210.6
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 33 minutes ago
Jun 29, 26, 8:14 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Market depth · No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
- A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
- Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.