Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 55.3%
Forecasters
35
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 40 minutes ago
Feb 15, 25, 5:32 PM UTCJan 1, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Background The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently hearing South Africa's case against Israel regarding alleged violations of the Genocide Convention in Gaza.
- On January 26, 2024, the ICJ issued provisional measures.
- However, this preliminary ruling does not constitute a final determination on whether Israel has breached the Convention.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if the ICJ issues a final judgment finding that Israel has breached any provision of the Genocide Convention in relation to its actions in Gaza.
- It will resolve NO if the ICJ either:
- Issues a final judgment finding that Israel has not breached the Convention
