Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.2%
Forecasters
107
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJan 12, 24, 5:04 PM UTCMay 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Xena be found guilty of at least one charge in her current case?
Manifold MarketsWill an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu be found guilty in any of the existing bribery/fraud cases?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Huberman be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.