Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMar 28, 24, 7:37 PM UTCJan 1, 32, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030)
Manifold MarketsWill someone reveal plagiarism in Andrew Huberman’s research by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Drake be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Mr Beast be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketMaduro guilty of all counts?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
