Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030)

SportsOne-OffCombat Sports Crime & Justice4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 83%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Stale

Feb 6, 24, 8:07 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

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Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of any of the charges he was detained for on the 29th of December 2022

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Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?

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Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?

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Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?

Kalshi

Rules

Resolves 50% if neither happens by the end of 2030

Report a data issue with this market

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030)

SportsOne-OffCombat Sports Crime & Justice4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 83%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Stale

Feb 6, 24, 8:07 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Manifold Markets

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK?

Manifold Markets

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of any of the charges he was detained for on the 29th of December 2022

Manifold Markets

Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?

Polymarket

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?

Polymarket

Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?

Kalshi

Rules

Resolves 50% if neither happens by the end of 2030

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030)?: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030) resolve?: Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030) is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
How is Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030) settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves 50% if neither happens by the end of 2030

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030)

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030)

Frequently asked questions

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