FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 92%
No 92%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$844.5
Low liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
This event predicts whether the Russian Federation will complete a full withdrawal of its military troops from the internationally recognized territory of Georgia at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements by the Russian or Georgian governments, or verified international monitoring reports confirming withdrawal.
- If Russia fully withdraws all military personnel from Georgian territory during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Partial withdrawals or redeployments that leave any Russian military presence in Georgia will not count.
- If official confirmations are disputed, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.