Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastFlávio Bolsonaro 79%-2.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
63
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 1:55 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
From Polymarket:
- A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Brazil Presidential Election · Flávio Bolsonaro 78%
- Also available on Gemini — Brazil Presidential Election Winner 2026? · Flávio Bolsonaro 78%
- Also available on Polymarket — Brazil Presidential Election · Flávio Bolsonaro 77%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — 2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner? · Flavio Bolsonaro 79%
- Also available on Kalshi — Brazil Presidential election winner? · Flávio Bolsonaro 78%
