GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Flávio Bolsonaro 53.5%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$250
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTCOct 11, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether the named outcome wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election scheduled to begin on October 4, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press (AP).
- This market will resolve to YES if AP reports the named outcome as the winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Brazil Presidential Election · Flávio Bolsonaro 57%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — 2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner? · Flavio Bolsonaro 64%
- Also available on Kalshi — Brazil Presidential election winner? · Flávio Bolsonaro 56%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election Winner 2026??
- Gemini prices Flávio Bolsonaro at 53% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Brazil Presidential Election Winner 2026? resolve?
- Brazil Presidential Election Winner 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 11, 2026.
- How is Brazil Presidential Election Winner 2026? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- Where else is Brazil Presidential Election Winner 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Manifold Markets, Kalshi.