KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 125,000,000 35%Market line of 6 lines
At least 125,000,000 35%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.8K
Open interest
$7.8K
Medium open interestSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 5, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 25, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketRules
If at least 125,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
- The count is the total of voters who voted (comparecimento) in the presidential contest of the second round (runoff) of Brazil’s 2026 general election, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), including those who cast blank or null votes. Registered voters, abstentions, justified absences and ballots in other contests do not count. Subject to the contract’s Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Source Declarations provisions, the vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Outside those two contract provisions, preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 119,000,000
- If at least 119,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 121,000,000
- If at least 121,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 123,000,000
- If at least 123,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 125,000,000
- If at least 125,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 127,000,000
- If at least 127,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 129,000,000
- If at least 129,000,000 votes, including blank and null votes, are cast in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.