Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?
11.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America17dBefore Oct 25, 2026
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 85%+11.0pt
Yes 85%+11.0ptMarket quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.4K
Open interest
$4.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
81.0% / 87.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 25, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Fox NewsMSNBCC-SPANABCCBSLulaFlávio BolsonaroNBCThe New York TimesCNNThe Wall Street JournalReutersThe InformationAxiosSemaforPoliticoThe Washington PostBloomberg Newsthe Associated PressYouTube
- A debate counts only if both candidates are present at the same time, in person or via live connection; the event is announced as a debate or similar confrontational discussion format; the candidates respond to each other's positions through direct dialogue or moderated questions; and the event is intended for public viewing. Joint press conferences, sequential interviews or town halls where the candidates appear separately, panel discussions with more than two primary participants, and events where either candidate fails to appear or appears only by pre-recorded video do not count.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.