GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16.5%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Feb 19, 26, 10:02 PM UTCNov 10, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Manifold Markets2028 Republican Nominee for President?
GeminiLA-02 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRules
2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named outcome wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- If the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? · Jon Ossoff 19%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Jon Ossoff 17%
- Also available on Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Jon Ossoff 18%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · JOSS 17%
- Also available on Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Also available on Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Also available on ForecastEx — Will J.B. Pritzker win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028? · No 96%
- Also available on Myriad — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Gavin Newsom 62%
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2028 Democratic Nominee for President??
- Gemini prices Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 17% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? resolve?
- 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2028.
- How is 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: 2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
- Where else is 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Kalshi, Smarkets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, Myriad.