GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18.5%Leader of 12 outcomes
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18.5%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$282
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Feb 19, 26, 10:02 PM UTCNov 10, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Manifold Markets2028 Republican Nominee for President?
GeminiLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRules
2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named outcome wins and formally accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. President.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Democratic Party convention records, public confirmations by the Democratic Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- If the named individual wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Democratic nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election · Gavin Newsom 17%
- Also available on Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Jon Ossoff 18%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · JOSS 19%
- Also available on Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Also available on Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
