GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
J.D. Vance 48%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Feb 19, 26, 9:37 PM UTCNov 10, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsWill either Rubio or Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Ron DeSantis be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
GeminiLA-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Republican nominee?
KalshiRules
2028 Republican Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named outcome wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- If the named outcome wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 24%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028? · JD Vance 47%
- Also available on Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 51%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 45%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee · J.D. Vance 45%
- Also available on Smarkets — Republican Presidential Nominee · JD Vance 46%
- Also available on Myriad — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · JD Vance 81%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee · JVAN 47%
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2028 Republican Nominee for President??
- Gemini prices J.D. Vance at 48% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does 2028 Republican Nominee for President? resolve?
- 2028 Republican Nominee for President? is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2028.
- How is 2028 Republican Nominee for President? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: 2028 Republican Nominee for President?
- Where else is 2028 Republican Nominee for President? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless, Manifold Markets, Polymarket, PredictIt, Kalshi, Smarkets, Myriad, Robinhood (Rothera).