FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 88%
Democratic Party 88%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.6K
Medium liquidityTraders
14
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Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This event concerns which political party will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the state of Arizona, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market corresponding to the party of the candidate officially elected Governor of Arizona will resolve to "Yes".
- A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on the official party designation under which they appear on the ballot.
- Arizona does not require a runoff election.
- The candidate who receives the highest number of valid votes in the general election is declared the winner.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Arizona (e.g., the Arizona Secretary of State).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Arizona Governor winner? · Katie Hobbs 90%
- Also available on Polymarket — Arizona Governor Election Winner · Katie Hobbs (D) 92%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Arizona Governor Race · Democrat 93%