PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
Democrat 78%+0.5%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$23.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
77.0% / 78.0%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 11:27 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democrat78%
Compare venues· Democratic party
Ordered by 24h volume
Also available on Futuur
Arizona Governor election winner
3mo
77%
23%
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$100.6
24h Vol$100.6
FUTUUR
Also available on Kalshi
Arizona Governor winner?
2.0%1y
+2.0%79%
20%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$384.4K
24h Vol$863.2
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$60Jul 52d of dataJul 6
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.