PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Katie Hobbs (D) 87.1%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$47.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
87.0% / 88.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 11:27 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Katie Hobbs is 87%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Katie Hobbs 87% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Arizona Governor election winner · Democratic Party 88%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Arizona Governor Race · Democrat 87%
- Also available on Kalshi — Arizona Governor winner? · Katie Hobbs 86%
- Also available on Gemini — Arizona Governor Winner · Katie Hobbs 87%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Arizona Governor Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Katie Hobbs (D) at 87% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Arizona Governor Election Winner resolve?
- Arizona Governor Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Arizona Governor Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
- Where else is Arizona Governor Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur, Robinhood (Rothera), Kalshi, Gemini.