PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Katie Hobbs (D) · —
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Stored reference
Katie Hobbs (D) 90.9%
Katie Hobbs (D) 90.9%Market quality
82 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$24K
Liquidity
$222.2K
High liquidityOpen interest
$102.7K
Bid / Ask
— / —
Katie Hobbs (D)Spread
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Comments
1
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 11:27 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Katie Hobbs (D)
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner
PolymarketArizona Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketArizona Governor Election: Turnout
PolymarketArizona Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Katie Hobbs win reelection for Arizona governor in 2026?
Manifold MarketsArizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percent
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Katie Hobbs (D) is 90%. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Katie Hobbs (D) 90% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Arizona Governor election winner · Democratic Party 85%
- Also available on Kalshi — Arizona Governor winner? · Katie Hobbs 89%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Arizona Governor Race · Democrat 89%