PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrat 6-9% 14%-0.5ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$88.3K
High liquiditySpread
0.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.6 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 4:53 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket prices Democrat 6-9% at 14% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory resolve?
- Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.